Interesting Wheeling

Just another weblog


Posted by ZaneMan on September 2, 2006

From the early 1800s until 1900 Wheeling was one of the 100 largest cities in the US. Although the city’s population continued to grow (from 38,878 in 1900 to 61,659 in 1930) it grew slower than other large cities and never again was one of the 100 biggest. The graph above (from US Bureau of Census data) shows in blue the rise and fall of Wheeling’s population. Since 1930 the population has declined every decade, at an average rate of 12% since 1950. The smooth black curve is a mathematical fit to the actual population numbers and it shows that a parabola can describe our growth and decline. Extrapolating the actual population numbers into the future suggests that the decline will continue, reaching 20,000 in 2018, 10,000 in 2029, and zero population in 2038.

All projections are risky, especially those for the future, and a trend is not a certainty. Although we can hope for a turnaround, that will only occur if changes occur in the conditions that cause decline. Are they?


Leave a Reply

Please log in using one of these methods to post your comment: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )


Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: